China to increase leading-edge chip output by 5x in two years, report claims — aims to lift 7nm and 5nm production to 100,000 wafers per month, targeting half a million monthly by 2030
China aims to increase monthly wafer starts for 7nm/5nm chips from below 20,000 to 100,000 within two years, targeting 500,000 by 2030, primarily via SMIC. This aggressive ramp faces severe constraints due to lack of access to leading-edge foreign lithography tools. Bearish: This long-term capacity expansion plan, if successful, would increase global supply of mature advanced nodes, potentially pressuring prices, but execution risks from equipment bans are extreme.
- Related manufacturers
- Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp. (SMIC)
- Impact score
- 55 / 100, medium impact