SEMICON West 2026: AI Made the Steps Faster. The Time Between Them Is Next.
Conference report from SEMICON West 2026: SEMI President and CEO Ajit Manocha told the CEO Summit that the semiconductor industry crossed $1 trillion in annual revenue this year, almost four years ahead of earlier projections; a year ago the forecast for 2030 was $1 trillion, now it is $2 trillion, with $3 trillion possible by 2035; the industry has 102 new fabs coming online through 2029 and needs more than 50 beyond that by 2035. Synopsys CEO Sassine Ghazi named the shortage of engineers as the industry's challenge, and Brooks Automation CEO Dave Jarzynka noted a wafer spends only about 25% of its time in the fab actually being processed. In the design session "Bridging Design and Manufacturing with AI" on Tuesday, October 13 in Room 20 at Moscone North, speakers from TSMC, Intel, Applied Materials, Lam Research, Cadence, Silvaco, PDF Solutions, McKinsey, Cerebras, SanDisk and VerifAIX covered seven themes. Specific figures include: Intel's DTCO decisions dropped from weeks to one or two hours; Applied Materials cut a 3D gate-all-around device simulation from 20.5 days to 19.7 hours on GPUs; McKinsey showed AI-assisted programs reaching tape-out nine months after design starts and cutting debug closure time by 40%; TSMC's agentic place-and-route runs around the clock at 3 to 5x productivity; Rhines showed NAND process steps rising from about 400 to as many as 1,800, wafer lot cycle time stretching from 8 to 10 weeks at 28nm to 16 weeks or more, and mask sets climbing from $1 to 3 million to $20 to 40 million or more; VerifAIX cited first-silicon success at 14% and the best AI pass rate on hardware code generation at 34%; PDF Solutions' Kimon Michaels cited Qualcomm's engineering and manufacturing data growing 600% since 2022, while less than 5% of manufacturing data gets analyzed; Lam's research published in Nature found engineers and algorithms working together, with the handoff in the right place, cut the cost of reaching a process target in half. The session also covered co-optimization (DTCO/STCO) replacing sequential handoffs, trust issues in autonomous design, and digital twins changing development. This is a conference recap and industry background; the source does not state the cause (no single event cause).
- Related manufacturers
- TSMC, Intel, Applied Materials, Lam Research, Cadence, Silvaco, PDF Solutions, McKinsey, Cerebras, SanDisk, VerifAIX, Synopsys, Brooks Automation, AMD, Qualcomm, SEMI
- Impact score
- 30 / 100, medium impact