[News] ASML Warns of 2027–28 Supply Shortfall Despite 30% Annual Capacity Hikes; Pricing Impact Starts in 2027
On its earnings call, ASML warned that even with a planned 30% capacity increase in 2027 followed by another targeted 30% expansion in 2028, its planned capacity would fall short of customer demand in both 2027 and 2028; Reuters, citing CEO Christophe Fouquet, notes that orders for 2028 are already pouring in, with some customers looking to secure equipment as far ahead as 2029 or even 2030. ASML expects to ship around 65 systems, up more than 50% from last year, and the outlook for DUV immersion tools has improved significantly: after initially anticipating a decline in shipments, the company now expects volumes to remain roughly flat year over year. ASML confirmed it will introduce the NXE:3800F EUV scanner in 2027, boosting wafer throughput from today's 230 wafers per hour to 260 wph, a breakthrough the company said is expected to meaningfully scale customer production capacities starting in 2028 and beyond; it is also upgrading key DUV immersion tools scheduled for delivery in 2027 to a record 330 wph. On pricing, ASML said pricing discussions with major customers have concluded, with the impact expected to be minimal in 2026, beginning in 2027 and fully visible from 2028 onward; according to The Elec, ASML is reportedly seeking a 10% price hike on replacement parts supplied to South Korea, with Samsung Electronics and SK hynix already notified. Financially, ASML posted record third-quarter net sales of €11.66 billion, up from €9.33 billion in the previous quarter; net profit surged to €4.96 billion from €2.92 billion and gross margin expanded to 57.5% from 54%. It forecasts Q4 revenue of €14.2 billion–€15.2 billion ($15.9 billion–$17.0 billion) with gross margin around 57%, and raised the lower end of full-year revenue guidance by €1 billion to €44 billion–€45 billion while maintaining the upper end, with gross margin of approximately 56%. The price impact has not yet taken effect and the capacity expansions remain planned.
- Related manufacturers
- ASML
- Part numbers
- NXE:3800F
- Impact score
- 62 / 100, medium impact