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China's CXMT targets 30% DRAM memory market share by 2030 with sixth mega-fab — future plans bottlenecked by access to advanced chipmaking tools

What happened

CXMT plans to build its sixth DRAM fab in Beijing, aiming to double monthly wafer starts to over 600,000. This expansion relies on government funding and targets 30% market share by 2030. Bearish - Increased capacity will likely lead to oversupply and downward pressure on DRAM prices.

Impact and signal

Medium impactImpact score: 65/100

Affected components and suppliers

capacity_expansionoversupplygovernment_support

Source and time

Source: Tom's Hardware · 8/5/2026 · View original source

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